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February 1, 2018

Profound divisions in the U.K. revealed by Brexit study

Credit: University of Manchester
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Credit: University of Manchester

A comprehensive report on Brexit and public opinion has revealed that the UK is a country deeply divided by class, place and age, and a values divide is emerging which could dramatically impact on politics in the years to come.

Nineteen months on from the EU referendum, University of Manchester Professors Rob Ford and Maria Sobolewska have co-authored the report "," by The UK in a Changing Europe, which underlines the divisions in UK society:

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The report highlights a potentially emergent divide. Those who thought equal opportunities for ethnic minorities have gone too far voted heavily for Leave, and those who felt equal opportunities have not gone far enough were much more likely to have voted Remain.

The report warns that the robust link between views about ethnic equality and votes in the EU referendum could be a sign of an emergent values divide in the UK.

"There's little evidence to support the prime minister's statement that 'the country has come together after Brexit." Instead she is presiding over a divided and polarised nation," he continued.

The is written by 27 academics, and is the most comprehensive and authoritative analysis of Brexit and to date. It analyses the referendum, last year's general election, emerging Brexit identities and the public's views of the Brexit negotiations.

The authors make several arguments as to why it is highly unlikely people will change their minds about the UK leaving the EU:

  1. people's preferences about EU membership are tied up with values, which are entrenched and unlikely to shift
  2. 'confirmation bias' leads Remainers and Leavers to discount information that does not correspond with their values
  3. for many Leavers, the attraction of Brexit was about identity politics more than economic calculus
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