Cane toad in Western Australia. Credit: Dr. Judy Dunlop

New Curtin University research has found invasive cane toads are on track to reach Western Australia's Pilbara region within the next 10 to 20 years, threatening to cause widespread losses among native species and significant cultural and economic harm.

The study, published in Scientific Reports, predicts that without containment efforts, the toxic amphibians will colonize up to 75% of the Pilbara within three decades, putting 25 at risk of serious population declines. These include several species of native marsupial predators like northern quolls, ghost bat and kaluta, as well as frog-eating snakes, blue-tongue skinks and goannas.

Of these, nine native mammals and reptiles are expected to become newly listed as threatened species and push the already vulnerable ghost bat to a higher threat category if the are not properly managed.

Lead author Dr. Judy Dunlop, from Curtin's School of Molecular and Life Sciences, said there were simple steps that could prevent the invasive pest from using dams as stepping stones into the Pilbara.

"The Pilbara region's permanent water sources make it an ideal habitat for the , which have already devastated like quolls, goannas, and snakes across Australia's iconic Kimberley region," Dr. Dunlop said.

"Toads are approaching a naturally dry part of the country south of Broome where the Great Sandy Desert meets the ocean. Here, the only water accessible to them is cattle watering points.

"If these points are dams, toads will access and use them as stepping stones to make their way through the desert zone, but simple upgrades to concrete tanks and troughs will make them inaccessible to toads."

Co-author Professor Ben Phillips, also from Curtin's School of Molecular and Life Sciences, said the findings highlighted the urgent need to establish a "toad containment zone" to stop their southward march.

"By establishing a 150km long 'toad containment zone' which limits toad access to artificial waterpoints, we may be able to prevent the invasion and push the species back to the top of the barrier—much like how firebreaks are used to halt the spread of bushfires by removing fuel and creating controlled boundaries," Professor Phillips said.

"There is no doubt that the arrival of toads will cause catastrophic declines in culturally important species, which will be felt by the Traditional Custodians of the Pilbara. The animals most at risk—such as the goanna and bluetongue skink—are culturally important to traditional owners for food, storytelling and bushtucker practices."

More information: Quantifying the potential impact of the cane toad (Rhinella marina) on biodiversity in Australia's Pilbara region, Scientific Reports (2025). .

Journal information: Scientific Reports

Provided by Curtin University